UBT News and Press, ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury From 03/26/24

2024-03-26 14:15:00 ET Summary We think it's more likely than not that the U.S. avoids a recession in 2024, but economic uncertainty remains high with the economy running at full capacity, household savings diminishing, the labor market slowing down, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve ...

2024-03-26 07:05:00 ET Summary We consider gold bullion and the S&P500 Index to be effectively at opposite ends of an investment seesaw. In the middle of last year, we thought that the low-$3000s for the US$ gold price was a plausible target for the first half of this year. ...

2024-03-26 00:45:00 ET Summary We see falling inflation, nearing interest rate cuts and solid corporate earnings supporting cheery risk sentiment. We tweak our tactical views and stay pro-risk. U.S. stocks hit record highs last week and 10-year yields fell as the Fed stuck with pl...

2024-03-25 11:20:00 ET Summary As the calendar turned to January, however, market participants appeared to start taking their cues not so much from changing inflation and central bank policy expectations, but from updated and improving data on economic growth. Equities rallied eve...

2024-03-25 08:20:00 ET Summary The dollar was up a little more than 1% last week and the short-term trend is on the cusp of changing. Stocks, large and small, had a good week as bonds rallied in the wake of the FOMC meeting. The rally last week was broad based with 10 of 11 ec...

2024-03-23 03:45:00 ET Summary The implications for bonds as the Fed pledges to stay the course on rate cuts. The balancing act between anticipated rate cuts and economic strength. The Fed's steady as she goes approach to rates and inflation. ... Read the f...

2024-03-23 03:35:00 ET Summary It’s typical for risk assets to rally when central banks pause rate hiking efforts and finally start easing policy. Eventually, the reason they start easing come to dominate headlines and thwart soft landing hopes. Higher interest rates and yi...

2024-03-23 02:55:00 ET Summary With a resilient economy and sticky inflation, expect policymakers to choose caution over speed. Despite recent inflation data surprising to the upside and breaking from the end-of-year trend, we have long held that the path to target inflation would...

2024-03-23 02:15:00 ET Summary After growing 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter last year (and 3.1 percent for 2023 overall), the median FOMC projection for 2024 real GDP growth is 2.1 percent. With that higher growth estimate came expectations of somewhat stickier inflation, with ...

2024-03-23 01:56:00 ET Summary The Fed's March policy meeting has generated very vocal reactions by commentators and market participants. With rates expected to stay on hold, attention focused on the new economic projections. The Fed’s estimate of the neutral policy rat...