UDN News and Press, Invesco DB USD Index Bearish From 04/06/24

2024-04-06 02:50:00 ET Summary Prices will rise when the eagerness of buyers outpaces the eagerness of the sellers regardless of the depth of the market. This month’s labor report showed one of the sharpest slowdowns of recent years with the rate of change slowing from 4.6%...

2024-04-06 02:30:00 ET Summary We think the Fed peaked in July 2023. Technically, we won’t know for sure until they cut. But, had a Martian alien landed on Earth and simply eyeballed the current movement of the 10yr yield, they’d likely conclude that the Fed had not ...

2024-04-05 08:25:00 ET Summary By January 2025, the Federal Reserve  is likely to be in an easing cycle, which may benefit the market regardless of who wins the election. A recent quote from Fed Chair Jerome Powell about the Fed, inflation, and confidence was music to my ears...

2024-04-05 07:40:00 ET Summary It seemed that it was the dramatic reversal in US equities that helped drag global shares down today, that forced US rates lower. Asia Pacific equities tumbled, led by more than 1% losses in Japan and South Korea. The 10-year Treasury yield is up...

2024-04-05 07:05:00 ET Summary Every firm is expecting rate cuts anticipating a recession but there is no recession in sight. Employment has been rising with some believing the numbers are manipulated because they believed the PMI was literally screaming recession. Expectation...

2024-04-04 14:20:00 ET Summary The broadest measure of economic activity, growth in real GDP, slowed in the fourth quarter. The U-3 unemployment rate has edged higher from last April (3.4 percent) to February (3.9 percent). In a no-landing scenario, the unemployment rate would...

2024-04-04 07:36:00 ET Summary ISM services prices paid increases moderated to their slowest since March 2020. The Dollar Index saw its second-biggest loss of the year, falling by about 0.50%. Among the large bourses, only Taiwan fell in the Asia Pacific region. Hong Kong ...

2024-04-04 03:25:00 ET Summary Inflation pressures remain quite subdued; disinflation is still in place. The market continues to harbor a long-ingrained reflex that says that in order for inflation to decline, the economy needs to weaken. Low and declining inflation and modera...

2024-04-03 08:30:00 ET Summary Market swings punctuated the first quarter as “central bank speak” proliferated and caused confusion. I put first quarter global markets into perspective and highlight some “little victories” that may have been easy to ove...

2024-04-03 06:50:00 ET Summary The adjustment to US interest rates continues and this helps underpin the US dollar. The dollar is firmer against all the G10 currencies today, while emerging market currencies are mixed. A powerful earthquake off the coast of Taiwan shuttered fa...