UDN News and Press, Invesco DB USD Index Bearish From 05/03/24

2024-05-03 05:52:00 ET Summary Although there were no huge surprises coming out of the recent Fed meeting, it may have provided hints on what the FOMC is thinking about future monetary policy changes. Fed stressed that it would continue to be highly data-dependent in its monetary ...

2024-05-03 04:50:00 ET Summary The outlook for earnings growth remains fairly positive, but much of this is already in the price. While it’s clear, there are some shorter-term headwinds facing risk assets over the coming few months. There is every chance markets continu...

2024-05-02 07:00:00 ET Summary It appears that with the market challenging Monday's intervention, Japanese officials entered the market shortly after the US equity market closed yesterday, as the Asia Pacific session go underway and sold dollars again. The offshore yuan is trading...

2024-05-02 05:00:00 ET Summary The latest JOLTS report showed the lowest levels of quits since early 2018 when Core PCE inflation was around 2%. This is an interesting data point because the quit rate has tended to be a good measure of labor market tightness. It’s often...

2024-05-02 03:20:00 ET Summary The Fed kept rates unchanged at the May FOMC meeting, maintaining the Fed Funds trading range at 5.25% to 5.50%. Rate cut expectations have shifted dramatically, with the market now pricing in fewer than two rate cuts compared with the initial expect...

2024-05-02 03:00:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve left its policy rate unchanged and argued its policy stance is “in a good place”, but officials are concerned about the recent lack of progress on inflation. Rate hikes remain unlikely, but the Fed is prepa...

2024-05-01 12:30:00 ET Summary Google searches of the term “stagflation” went up dramatically last week, but I don’t believe we’re seeing stagflation in the US. The recovery in eurozone services appears to have legs, in my opinion, as we are finally see...

2024-05-01 12:00:00 ET Summary Stronger-than-anticipated economic data released during the first quarter led to a significant downward shift in market expectations for 2024 rate cuts. While equity markets were mostly unfazed by this change in expectations, fixed income markets exp...

2024-05-01 06:50:00 ET Summary The BOJ projected yesterday that commercial banks' deposits with it likely dropped by JPY7.56 trillion. The dollar gradually edged higher yesterday, and by the end of the North American session, it had recovered more than half of the intervention-ins...

2024-04-30 09:00:00 ET Summary The aim of the devaluation was to escape deflation which had persisted since (at least) the turn of the century. The Yen started to weaken in 2021 as the BOJ ramped up Yen printing again to help the economy recover from the COVID shock. Mortgage ...