UDN News and Press, Invesco DB USD Index Bearish From 06/10/24

2024-06-10 07:25:00 ET Summary With mixed elements, the market took the US jobs data as relatively strong and took the dollar and US rates higher. The EU Parliament election has shaken up European politics, with the Belgium government collapsing and French President Macron calling...

2024-06-07 13:45:00 ET Summary The two primary drivers of the market these days are news related to inflation and developments in artificial intelligence. The hope for the Fed to cut rates these past several months has supported equity values and suppressed rates since November. ...

2024-06-07 09:15:00 ET Summary Some softer US data has managed to pull the dollar away from its highs of the year. Our baseline Fed scenario should see the dollar drift lower over coming quarters, although the US elections remain the wild card. The USD/JPY rally has stalled too. ...

2024-06-07 07:50:35 ET Summary The dollar is little changed against the major currencies ahead of the US jobs report. The odds of two Fed cuts this year are now near 90%, double a week ago. US index futures are little changed now and are up 2.0%-2.5% this week. Ove...

2024-06-06 07:35:00 ET Summary The dollar is mostly softer today, ahead of tomorrow's employment report. We suspect ECB officials will try to deliver a hawkish cut, by which we mean, framing the move to avoid the market driving down interest rates. The euro is in the upper end...

2024-06-06 04:20:00 ET Summary Does gold hedge inflation? Rolling 36-month regressions of gold on median inflation yield results like those for headline inflation - the relationship is unstable and variable. If underlying inflation captures economic forces of excess demand and...

2024-06-05 07:15:00 ET Summary The yen, which rallied, yesterday, has given back most of its gains and the wage data gave the market second thoughts about next week's BOJ meeting. The Mexican peso, which has been sold aggressively in the face of the strong election showing of the ...

2024-06-05 03:40:00 ET Summary Currency in circulation grew at a fairly steady pace of 6.6% per year from 2010 through 2019. It then exploded upward in the wake of the massive Covid stimulus spending. Tight inflation has fallen, real yields are relatively high, and interest-sensit...

2024-06-04 07:45:00 ET Summary The dollar's losses scored after yesterday's disappointing ISM manufacturing report was extended initially in Asia Pacific turnover earlier today before it recovered. Indian stocks are giving back yesterday's gains plus today, sliding more than 5%. ...

2024-06-03 15:40:00 ET Summary European government bond yields have swung as markets question how far the ECB will ease policy beyond a first cut expected this week. Even with anticipated rate cuts, we see policy rates in the U.S. and Europe settling at a far higher level than the...