UDN News and Press, Invesco DB USD Index Bearish From 06/28/24

2024-06-28 05:40:00 ET Summary Today, the economy is once again functioning normally, growing at about a 2% pace. The big inflation episode is essentially over, but the Fed is once again slow to figure this out, and thus reluctant to lower interest rates. Currency is a good pr...

2024-06-28 03:40:00 ET Summary Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are, regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Money Supply should dip some heading into the summer before rebounding later in the...

2024-06-28 00:45:00 ET Summary During the second quarter of 2024, the Treasury market experienced heightened volatility as market participants tried to predict when the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield fluctuated between a high of 4.70...

2024-06-27 11:08:00 ET Summary The dollar is sporting a softer profile today against all the G10 currencies except the Swedish krona. Most emerging market currencies are also firmer, with the notable exception of Türkiye and South Africa. All the large bourses fell in the...

2024-06-26 09:25:00 ET Summary Rates won’t come down as quickly as some had hoped, according to our CIO, William Davies, but further gains for equities are still possible this year. Heading into the second half of the year, we’re likely to see further divergence in c...

2024-06-26 07:15:00 ET Summary The dollar is firm, and the market is challenging the JPY160 level, which it has traded above in Europe. Asia Pacific bourses advanced, with Australia's market being the outlier. The Canadian dollar has been in a one-way market almost as much as ...

2024-06-26 02:20:00 ET Summary Growth peaked on a quarter over quarter seasonally adjusted annual rate in Q3 last year at 4.9%. One area of uncertainty is the spend rate for the IRA and CHIPs Act. While we believe the current administration will keep spending high through the elec...

2024-06-25 15:00:00 ET Summary The economy clearly has slowed since the fourth quarter of 2023. Real GDP growth was only 1.3% in the first quarter of 2024, down from 3.4% in Q4 2023. Despite the slowing economy and lack of signs of a recession, the inflation story has clearly turn...

2024-06-25 14:50:00 ET Summary The US 10-2yr Treasury yield curve has been inverted (two-year yields higher than ten-year) for 23 months since July 2022. An inversion in this spread has preceded the onset of every recession in the last 50 years by an average of 10 months. Mark...

2024-06-25 08:10:00 ET Summary The US labor market may be at an inflection point. The high-flying Nvidia has fallen 13% in the past three sessions coming into today. Gold is little changed near $2333 and its trading in the upper end of yesterday's narrow range. Ove...