URR News and Press, Morgan Stanley ZC SP REDEEM 30/04/2020 USD 40 From 08/14/20

In this article, I would like to list three reasons to short the euro - specifically, against the British pound (short EUR/GBP). Reason One: Technical Set-Up EURGBP has failed to confidently break above 0.9150 for several times now. A triple top that occurs after an uptrend is usually ...

Overview The poor price action on Tuesday in the S&P 500 was shrugged off, and new highs for the recovery were made as the record high nears. The dollar, on the other hand, seemed to find plenty of sellers against most of the major currencies. The yen was a notable exception. The dollar ...

Overview: The biggest rise in the US 10-year yield in a couple of months, as the record quarterly refunding, got underway may have helped stabilize the dollar after an earlier decline. The S&P 500 threatened to extend its advance for the eighth consecutive session yesterday, but a late s...

Overview: The new week has begun slowly with Singapore and Tokyo markets closed for national holidays. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 2% last week and edged higher today, led by 1.5%-1.7% rallies in South Korea and Australia. Hong Kong was a notable exception and eased around 0.6%. Europe'...

The US dollar did not recover as much ahead of the jobs as we flagged a week ago, and the technical condition is still stretched. The price action lends credence to our view that a technical consolidative/corrective phase is at hand. Further near-term dollar recovery looks likely but does no...

During the height of the pandemic-induced market turmoil in March, currencies performed mostly according to how they moved with equities - their equity beta, or how risk-on or risk-off they were. That is now changing. Increasingly, currencies will start to reflect how well countries are de...

Overview The drop in US yields to new lows amid paralysis in Washington, except apparently over a lip-syncing app's threat to US national security, sent the dollar back to its lows after a modest recovery in early North American trading yesterday. The greenback remains under pressure today, ...

The dollar was beaten up in July. It fell against nearly all the world's currencies except for a handful of emerging market currencies, including the Argentine peso and Turkish lira. It did not just fall against the major currencies, but it fell hard. The euro's 5.0% gain in July was its bes...

Overview: A wave of profit-taking is seen through most of the capital markets today, with the exception of the bond market, where yields continue to trend lower. The US 10-year is now yielding 55 bp, a new low since early March, and the five-year yield set a new record low near 23 bp. Europe...

The U.S. Dollar index has been under pressure, and another 5-6% drop is possible before the U.S. election. US Dollar and Euro diverge at key levels In recent newsletters to my subscribers, I warned of a potential drop in the U.S. Dollar, and more recently, noted that the Euro was threateni...