UST News and Press, ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury From 07/11/24

2024-07-11 11:59:00 ET Summary US CPI came in below expectations, which should increase the Fed’s confidence that inflation is on the path to sustainably reaching the 2% target. We are finally seeing housing inflation slow, with shelter coming in at 0.2% MoM rather than the...

2024-07-11 00:30:00 ET Summary Anticipation is high for the release of US CPI data, which is expected to influence market movements, especially the US Dollar Index (DXY). The market has priced in a 71.8% chance of a September rate cut, and if inflation aligns with or falls below f...

2024-07-10 15:15:00 ET Summary Interest rates move markets worth trillions of dollars, influence politics, impact the value of currencies, and even affect our grocery bills. Despite the challenges associated with relying on different models to derive r*, there has been a clear tre...

2024-07-10 12:30:00 ET Summary French election: The second round of the legislative election was won by the far-left after the first round had gone to the far-right. UK election: The Labour Party more than doubled their seats in the House of Commons and Sir Keir Starmer is the new...

2024-07-10 12:20:00 ET Summary The UST yield curve has been inverted, but there is speculation about when it will “un”invert and move out of negative territory. Short-term and long-term rates do not always move in the same direction, and the magnitude of their moveme...

2024-07-10 11:50:00 ET Summary The last time the Fed cut the fed funds rate, the Fed easing monetary policy started with Janet Yellen in Q4 ’16 and ended with Jay Powell in late 2018. The TLT returned +14.12%, in 2019 as the Fed reduced the fed funds rate slightly. Inve...

2024-07-10 03:15:00 ET Summary Fed Chair Powell’s testimony didn’t give away much and markets continue to price in around a 75% probability for a September cut. French spreads remain elevated, but issuers are returning to EUR primary markets as event risks are abatin...

2024-07-09 12:59:00 ET Summary Progress appears to being made on the Fed’s aspiration of moving the economy into better balance and thus bringing inflation down towards the 2% target. Two-way risks are also increasingly being acknowledged and if the data moves in the direct...

2024-07-09 03:04:00 ET Summary A more dovish Powell would help firm up the September cut expectations ahead of the CPI release due Thursday. Whereas in the US, we see the rate-cutting narrative picking up momentum; in the Eurozone, the direction is less evident. The 10Y B...

2024-07-08 14:35:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index rose to fresh record highs on Friday. The latest jobs data helped add to bullish sentiment. Along with other recent reports, Friday’s one suggests the economy is cooling without collapsing. That is re...