USVM News and Press, USAA MSCI USA Small Cap Value Momentum Blend Index From 04/21/24

2024-04-21 10:35:00 ET Summary Due to the emergence of negative Net National Saving (NNS), the law of diminishing returns can no longer fully capture the harmful effect of debt on economic growth. A redefinition of the monetary base and world dollar liquidity (WDL) is needed to ca...

2024-04-21 06:15:00 ET Summary First quarter GDP and March PCE reports could lead to higher rates, a stronger dollar, and a decline in the stock market. Anecdotal evidence suggests that the estimates for GDP and PCE may be too low, indicating potential upside surprises. Strong...

2024-04-20 05:50:00 ET Summary Despite extraordinary monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, inflation remains elevated above its 2% target. The Consumer Price Index rose at an annualized rate of 4.5% over the last three months. Interest rates suggest money is tight. The m...

2024-04-20 05:30:00 ET Summary For investors whose portfolios are calculated in US dollars, the Japanese yen is down around 10% versus the greenback. The strong dollar is a direct outcome of the market’s long-overdue realization that US interest rates are likely to stay hig...

2024-04-20 05:05:59 ET Summary We can assume that global carry trades have mushroomed over recent years to the Trillions, with speculative leverage seductively bolstering liquidity and asset prices virtually everywhere. Losses are mounting throughout Asian currency markets. Ch...

2024-04-20 03:00:00 ET Summary The Leading Indicator, at 75, suggests a sustained level of moderate growth, maintaining a consistent trend within the range of above-neutral performance observed over the past year. The Lagging Indicator suggests moderate contraction, continuing a p...

2024-04-20 02:40:00 ET Summary The latest National Federation of Independent Business survey was an economic warning that departed widely from more robust governmental reports. While recent government data on economic growth and employment remain robust, the NFIB small business co...

2024-04-19 12:31:19 ET Summary The Fed has implemented backdoor quantitative easing through bank bailouts and subsidies in the overnight repo market, distorting the stock market. Promised rate cuts by the Fed may not materialize due to the record amount of Treasuries being sold an...

2024-04-19 07:45:00 ET Summary This year started on a strong note, with global equity markets gaining 8.9%. With better-than-expected economic data being published in the U.S., but also in Europe and China, market confidence grew, leading to a regional broadening of the bull marke...

2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...