VEA News and Press, Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets From 11/01/22

Summary US stocks led the October bounce. Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund surged 8.1%. Commodities posted the second-best performance in October for the major asset classes, rising 6.2%. The Global Market Index recovered in October, registering its first monthly gain si...

Summary We see central banks on a path to overtighten policy. Their balance sheet reductions up selling pressure on government bonds, so we’re underweight. We think rates will - and may already have - hit levels that make recessions foretold. That isn’t yet reflected...

Summary Business investment and employment look set to also deteriorate amid the drop in confidence and signs of excess capacity developing. The US economic downturn gathered significant momentum in October, according to the flash S&P Global PMI data. A further uncertainty...

Summary Offering a reprieve from bear-market conditions that have pummeled markets for much of 2022, traders bid up prices for most of the major asset classes for the week through Friday, Oct. 21, based on a set of ETFs. Inflation-indexed government bonds ex-US led the rally. The ...

Summary The recession we see from Federal Reserve rate hikes eclipses any impact from U.S. midterm elections. We stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. Yields rose and stocks rallied off lows as markets mulled the scope of central bank rate hikes amid a “whatever it...

Summary This sequel to “The Contrarian’s All-Weather Retirement Portfolio” describes my top picks in each asset class and the rationale behind them. Compared to conventional portfolios, it is overweight value, small cap, foreign and commodity equities, shorter...

Summary How far will policy rates need to go to tame inflation and is a recession imminent? Until central banks see a significant decline in wage growth, they’re likely to keep conditions tighter for longer. There’s evidence that conditions may continue to suppor...

Summary Global GDP growth is still expected to be positive in 2022 (excluding Russia) but is expected to fall fairly dramatically in 2023. The U.S. Q3 2022 earnings season has just begun, and the outlook is for lower but still positive revenue and earnings growth. Inflation wi...

Summary US government bonds offering inflation hedging provided the only positive return for the major asset classes in last week’s trading through Oct. 14, based on a set of proxy ETFs. Investors are also eyeing the recent rebound in inflation-adjusted yields offered in th...

Summary Trading activity on the Tradeweb European ETF marketplace amounted to EUR 49.7 billion in September. Total consolidated U.S. ETF notional value traded in September 2022 reached USD 51 billion. During September 2, 113 unique tickers traded on the Tradeweb U.S. ETF marke...