VEA News and Press, Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets From 02/21/22

Four revealing stock market charts send mixed signals. Market timing is not the answer. Adopt and maintain an all-weather portfolio. For further details see: Investing When Key Market Charts Conflict

Non-U.S. markets, including EM, DM, and Asia, are outperforming the U.S. markets after underperforming last year. After slightly underperforming growth last year, value is where the money is flowing. With the economy still in growth mode, cyclical stocks should do better than defe...

Four macroeconomic indicators rang the alarm before every recession since 1950. Sustained bear markets in equities unfolded in recessions only. The macro indicators are not flashing warning signals yet. The S&P 500 remains on target for 5000-5200. For further details...

The outlook for demand growth remains uncertain. Developed world trends varied somewhat, reflecting the timing of the Omicron wave and differing supply chain trends. Output across both manufacturing and services was often constrained by ongoing supply chain delays. For furth...

For investors who want to earn a reasonable return without taking excessive risks, diversification still works, and we think you’re going to need more of it this year. The weighing of the high-flyers is not over. Commodities had another good week, and the 1-year return is getti...

The inverse relationship between prices and yields is at least useful. And so it’s been since our last update on trailing yields for the major asset classes via ETF proxies. The range of trailing yields has widened for the underlying fund components, ranging from a low of 0.95%...

For those investors who like the idea of buying and holding for the long term, international stocks are likely to dramatically outperform over the coming years. The SPDR Developed World ex-US ETF offers a well-diversified portfolio of international stocks, with much stronger long-term...

The downturn was dramatic, but no less expected after the hefty increase in previous months. Expecting risk-adjusted performance to ease in the near-term future is a reasonable guesstimate. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio design. ...

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...

Commodities were the upside outlier last month, offering substantial ballast to sliding prices elsewhere for most of the world’s markets. Stocks (VWO) and bonds (EMLC) in emerging markets sidestepped January’s selling with modest gains for the month. US stocks (VTI) ...