VIIX News and Press, VelocityShares VIX Short-Term ETN

Summary The resilience of the labor market means the U.S. is probably not in a true recession. Macroeconomic headwinds do, however, make a mild recession within the next 12 months more likely than not. The market volatility has been one of the contributing factors to investor ...

Summary In today's issue of the 1-Minute Market Report, I examine the market bounce since the October low, and highlight the areas of the market that are leading the way higher. On Thursday, for every stock that was down, there were 26 that were up. For the first time since August...

Summary Almost half of the option contracts being traded on the S&P 500, to the tune of $300 billion of notional each day, have one-day expiries or less. Across all listed ETFs and indices, an astounding $1 trillion of notional value in put options (bets that an index or ETF w...

Summary Active central banks may create attractive opportunities for discretionary macro managers who can take advantage of higher volatility, higher rates and dynamic policy changes. The Russia-Ukraine conflict remains a large overhang across almost the entire commodity complex. ...

Summary The Fed isn’t likely to stop raising rates anytime soon which means cash is starting to become a viable competitor to the increasingly volatile trading in stocks and bonds. Liquidity is now reaching very dangerous levels. The US Ten-Year Note Yield crossed the 4...

Summary Stocks started the week waiting with bated (baited?) breath for the inflation reports of the week. It isn’t surprising that the market is focused firmly on the rearview mirror for clues about the future since Jerome Powell has made it plain that is his plan. Sto...

After Friday’s big payroll number, stocks sank as the buzz was that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points at its September meeting. And they well might. One of the amazing developments of the Covid pandemic was that many people who were forced to stay...

Since the beginning of 2022, the Cboe Volatility Index® (“VIX”) futures curve has shifted higher, indicating that expectations for volatility in the market remain elevated. A state of contango represents the expectation that the VIX index will increase from its curr...

The VIX-yield curve cycle is a powerful economic phenomena that has persisted since at least the end of the 1980s. Recessions happen following periods of tight monetary policy, characterized by flat yield curves and high levels of equity volatility. Fed tightening is beginning to ...

The FOMC meeting is scheduled for this Wednesday, July 27. The stock market is playing this Fed meeting as if it is a non-event. The market may find out the Fed is not ready to cave in just yet. The week of July 25 will be a big one for markets, with the FOMC meeting on ...