VTWO News and Press, Vanguard Russell 2000 Index Fund From 07/11/23

2023-07-11 10:20:00 ET Summary The Composite Recession Probability Index currently estimates that an NBER-defined downturn in progress is just 10%. The near-term future also looks relatively upbeat, based on a pair of proprietary indicators featured in The US Business Cycle Risk R...

2023-07-10 21:10:00 ET Summary At the beginning of this year, the consensus was that a recession was imminent (within 6 months) so stocks would perform poorly in the first half of the year; bonds were the better choice. The 10-year Treasury yield finally broke above the short-term...

2023-07-10 13:17:00 ET Summary It’s possible to enter a period where recession clearly becomes increasingly likely, even as it remains exceedingly difficult to predict the timing of a recession with any confidence. An extremely soft landing would allow inflation to fall whi...

2023-07-06 23:23:00 ET Summary The U-3 unemployment rate moved up to 3.7 percent, a historically low figure but a big jump from the prior month’s level (3.4 percent, a figure not bettered since 1953). Housing activity remained mixed over the past month, with the new side of...

2023-07-05 22:43:00 ET Summary The doubling in Canada’s population over a period of 56 years is pretty modest, amounting to about 1.25% per year, compounded. Canada is currently experiencing record high levels of employment and near record low levels of unemployment. Fo...

2023-07-04 01:50:00 ET Summary The yield curve, as measured by the 2-year note and 10-year note (Treasury yields) have gotten more inverted of late, registering at -106 basis points (bps) at last count. Even at that, many bond experts are saying that we are still in “lucky&...

2023-07-03 23:05:00 ET Summary Over many economic regimes, U.S. equities have reliably converted risk into return, especially when held for extended periods. Falling but elevated inflation has created a disconnect between nominal earnings and the real economy. The depletion of...

2023-06-29 23:40:00 ET Summary The world is not going through a replay of the 1970s, as there are some critical differences between the current situation and the situation back then. However, this decade’s macroeconomic path probably will have a lot more in common with the ...

2023-06-29 12:20:00 ET Summary Market performance has been driven by a handful of stocks, which signals that near-term improvement in economic growth is not expected. It’s hard to imagine that today’s elevated shelter prices are sustainable, so I’m not convinc...

2023-06-26 20:32:00 ET Summary One factor driving the recession talk is the Federal Reserve's higher interest rate push in an effort to lower the rate of inflation. With the stimulus dollars held in savings, consumers eventually began to get comfortable with spending and have been...