VTWV News and Press, Vanguard Russell 2000 Value Index Fund From 10/08/22

Summary The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 0.2% increase on the month. This will replace the 0.4% increase in September last year and allow the year-over-year rate to fall toward 8.1% from 8.3%. Encouraged by the Fed's economic projections and a view of the Fed's r...

Summary What lessons can we learn from this postwar history of recessions? Recessions in the modern era are not just the product of natural economic cycles, but also of the latent systemic pressures that exist in a highly interlinked and mutually dependent global capital market. ...

Summary The global bubble – history’s greatest bubble - is bursting and we are about to commence an adjustment period that I fear will shake us to the core. A unique confluence of developments – globalization, the rise of China, technological innovation, finan...

Summary Reversing the gains from earlier in Q3, September’s market rout brought U.S. and global equity indexes back into bear market territory. Uncertainty, volatility, and recession risk are elevated, but investors should keep in mind that innovations and opportunities oft...

Summary Markets seesaw on conflicting economic signals. Is a recession possible in the U.S. in the next 12 months? Q3 earnings season outlook. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist for North America, Paul Eitelman, and Sophie Ant...

Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Led by oil, commodity prices surged this week. A hawkish Fed and OPEC countries focusing on hur...

Summary Seasonal trends and the mid-term elections can prove to be a catalyst for the next short-term move in stocks. The Global bear market has signaled the oncoming global economic slowdown, and the economic data is confirming that. Corporate Earnings season is here and that...

Summary It’s the final quarter of the year, and we’re in the midst of a nasty market crash. It wouldn’t be such a big deal to see stocks getting beaten up so bad if it weren’t for the fact that bonds have been pummeled as well. Part of the problem w...

Summary Estimates of growth for Q3 range from 1.4% from the Conference Board and the Survey of Professional Forecasters to 2.7% from the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast. Overall, while there may have been a drop in the number of job openings, there remain 1.8 jobs for every unemployed...

Summary Employment growth is cooling but still above trend. The jobs report did not change any economic trends but was "good enough" for the Fed to keep raising rates. The market expects the Fed Funds rate to be 4.6% by March 2023. More rate hikes + more growth slowing = m...