VWO News and Press, Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets From 01/10/23

Summary Arguably one of the greatest frustrations for investors over the past year of rampant inflation was the dismal performance of real assets regarded as inflation hedges and their positive correlations to the returns of nominal assets, such as conventional government bonds. Even th...

Summary As expected, despite an overhang of risk from the pandemic, global banking sectors again avoided major crises in 2022. The combination of higher interest rates, tighter liquidity conditions, and risk aversion against a background of weaker global economic growth will slow credit...

Summary Recession foretold in developed markets (DM), a pause in central bank rate hikes and China’s reopening help shape 2023 and reinforce our tactical views. European equities led DM stocks higher. Surprisingly weak U.S. services data spurred bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts...

Summary EM bonds look bullish in the short term as declining UST yields and improving credit risk are both supporting the sector. With a yield of 7.3%, the iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF is likely to deliver highly positive real returns. The ETF is also likely to ...

Summary Goodbye 2022! Hello 2023. The folly of predicting macro variables. There is nowhere to hide in markets! For further details see: (Non)Predictions For 2023

Summary Global business activity fell for a fifth consecutive month in December, with the rate of decline moderating slightly amid improved supply conditions but still rounding off the worst quarter since 2009 barring lockdown months. At 48.2 in December, the Global PMI - compiled by S&...

Summary We expect COVID-19 to continue its transition to a global endemic and the status quo to prevail in Russia's war in Ukraine, with no material implications for the global economy. Mild recessions are forecast in the United States and Europe, but resilience in Asia Pacific will pre...

Summary After a 16% rally since the bottom on October 25, the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) appears poised for further upside, with the China rally leading the way. While valuations have increased over recent months, the VWO remains undervalued from a historical perspective. ...

Summary Global equities closed out their worst year since the 2008 financial crisis as central banks launched increasingly aggressive efforts to bring rampant inflation under control. Much of the US’s underperformance versus its peers is an outgrowth of its much larger exposure t...

Summary The expected long-run return for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in December, slipping below 6% annualized, based on the average forecast for three models. GMI represents a theoretical benchmark of the optimal portfolio for the average investor with an infinite time h...