XMMO News and Press, Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum From 03/15/23

2023-03-15 00:30:00 ET Summary Small businesses continue to report some of the worst sentiment of the past decade with the February reading right back in line with the April 2020 low. Plans to increase employment remain healthy in the 77th percentile. Most firms report now as ...

Summary The National Bureau of Economic Research takes time to define periods of economic expansion and contraction - and they do so in hindsight; equity markets are not trading based on these characterizations. The low degree of difference between the S&P 500 Index and the WisdomTr...

Summary As economies both in the United States and globally weaken with tighter monetary policies, corporate earnings are coming under greater pressure. Without exception, in the 24 months prior to a recession, large caps outperformed small caps. Higher-quality investments did not m...

Summary Tightening monetary policy drove rising 10-year Treasury bond yields and pressured equity valuations in 2022. Interest rates will drive the market environment, to some extent, according to our U.S. growth and core equity and U.S. value equity teams. Given the lagged impact, ...

Summary Past episodes of debt ceiling histrionics have resulted in temporary government shutdowns. With both sides seemingly dug in, a repeat of the 2011 episode cannot be ruled out. In 2010, republicans controlled the House and demanded that President Obama negotiate over deficit r...

Summary Many investors are happy to be moving on from the market volatility of 2022, which left a mere few good places to hide. Hitting the so-called “sweet spot,” US mid caps - generally defined as companies with market capitalization between US$2 and US$10 billion - can ...

Summary Stocks have rallied to start the year due to financial conditions easing. The Fed, to this point, has been unable to convince the markets of its commitment to raise rates. Vice-Chair Lael Brainard speaks this week and could be personified to reset market expectations. ...

Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...

Summary The CPI cooled again in December driven by a massive fall in Energy prices. A big driver behind the fall in Energy prices has been the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Lower inflation is “good for gold” as the Fed can theoretically pull back on hikes. ...

Summary U.S. nearing its statutory debt limit of ~$31.281 trillion. Congressional gridlock on changing the debt limit appears likely. Fed QT roll-off of $60 billion in U.S. Treasury securities is continuing. Secretary of Treasury, Yellen, has warned the Speaker of the U.S. House...