XOP News and Press, SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Product From 10/26/22

Summary Most biofuels come from Brazil. Brazil produces about one million barrels per day of ethanol during its winter months there and none during its summer months. From January 2018 to June 2022, World Other Liquids, less Brazil, increased by two million barrels per day. Th...

Summary The root of Europe’s energy crisis is under-investment or outright dis-investment in nuclear energy and natural gas production/storage/transportation, combined with over-reliance on intermittent and relatively inefficient forms of renewable energy. Russia’s i...

Summary We share an important update from the fundamental area of our analysis team. Then, we take a look back at some of our pivotal calls from January 2021 and May 2022. What is the technical setup for XOM as well as some other key energy names going forward? By ...

Summary I have said for weeks that the Fed needs to slow the pace of its tightening campaign. Powell apparently decided last week that the market was taking things too far. Corporate earnings are being released for the quarter and, so far, they aren’t that bad. It w...

Summary Oil prices could be higher for longer. Demand continues to grow globally, despite the short-term impact of the pandemic. Supply is constrained, due to ESG mandates, regulation, and underinvestment in new production. OPEC has shown it's willing to do what is needed to k...

Summary PPI and CPI numbers came out last week, and both were higher than expected. Fed officials are concerned about the persistence of high inflation, and a 0.75% key interest rate hike at the November FOMC meeting is virtually certain. Worldwide demand for crude oil naturally r...

Summary Janet Yellen raised the specter of buying Treasuries this past week, without it being QE. The comments seemed to be born of some illiquidity issues within the Treasury market. 2022 is a midterm election year. It’s been grim YTD with the S&P 500 down -23.83% whil...

Summary June Non-OPEC production increased by 178 kb/d to 48,990 kb/d. The largest increases came from Russia, 510 kb/d and the U.S., 201 kb/d. The current spread between Western Canada Select (WCS) and WTI has increased to $25/b from a more typical $12/b to $17/b. Mexico ...

Summary The reduction of production quotas by OPEC+ members is putting a floor under oil prices. Fears of an impending recession in Europe are fully priced in. China consumption will likely rebound in 2023. Worldwide inventories continue to decline. US SPR releases will be...

Summary This is the fourth round of the battle between our two favorite sectors. Both have beaten the market, but we have a clear preference for one. We examine the fundamentals in light of tightening energy market fundamentals. Investing comes down to choosing the b...