XXV News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC From 12/05/19

During the final quarter of 2018, the price action in the stock market was downright ugly. Rising interest rates in the US caused a substantial correction that took the E-Mini S&P 500 futures contract over 21% lower. The selling began at the very start of October and did not end until the ...

Long traders in the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF ( UVXY ) caught some relief today with shares rallying by around 1.5% through close of trading. While these returns are certainly enjoyable for the long crowd, it is important to take a step back and examine the history of the inst...

The stock market continues to soar to new heights. The most recent peak came on November 19, and all signs are that stocks could continue to post gains through the end of 2019. The Santa Claus rally in the stock market started early this year. Unless there is tax-loss selling lurking in the ma...

Market sentiment seems to turn at warp speed these days. Hopes can be dashed as quickly as they come, with the market responding to the ultra-short news cycle. The result is an ever-present sense of uneasiness in the market. Oddly, Wall Street's "fear gauge" remains low. The Chicago Board Opti...

If we look at 2019, the trajectory of VIX has been downward in the months of January through April; followed by meaningful spikes in May; followed by a declining VIX trend in June and July; followed by another round of increases in August and parts of September; and, finally, followed by a d...

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The Rally In late December of 2018, I surmised that the market was quite oversold and that a Christmas rally was in the offing. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made an intraday low on December 26 th . The chart below shows the market's progress (weekly) since that low. What struck ...

Volatility has not reared its head despite so many seemingly volatile factors. Slowing growth, trade wars, impeachment, flattening earnings, banks afraid to lend to each other... none of it matters apparently. Remember, I showed you this chart of the volatility index a couple weeks ago: He...

Later this week, on October 30, the markets will hear from the Federal Open Market Committee of the US Federal Reserve. The central bank will decide if they will reduce the short-term Fed Funds rate for the third time in 2019 or leave the rate unchanged. The market expects the central bank t...

On October 30, the markets will hear from the Federal Market Committee of the US Federal Reserve once again. At the two previous meetings, the Fed has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points. At the late July meeting, the central bank ended its balance sheet normalization program, which had ...