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2024-07-07 16:00:00 ET Summary Q3 is off to a great start. July is likely to close higher, as is H2. The bullish bias remains, but buying over 5550 is asking for trouble. Exhaustion signals are mounting up in multiple timeframes and a dip back to 5440 support looks due. A ...
2024-07-07 06:15:00 ET Summary S&P 500 rally driven by concentrated index names and volatility dispersion trade. Surge in stock prices, call volumes, and implied volatility seen in Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla, and Meta. Volatility dispersion trades around earnings s...
2024-07-07 04:41:16 ET Summary Monetary policy is represented by a chart showing a 65.7% increase in the monetary base from February 2020 to May 2024. The M2 money stock has also increased in a similar pattern during this time period. The chart effectively illustrates the curr...
2024-07-06 09:00:00 ET More on the markets Jobs Growth Points To A Slowdown, But No Rate Cut This Jobs Report Suggests The Fed Cuts Rates Now The June Jobs Report: Sounding The Alarm S&P kicks off H2 with best week since late April, now within sight of 5,...
2024-07-06 08:35:00 ET Summary With the June employment data out of the way, the focus this week shifts back to prices, with the CPI and PPI on tap. The Dollar Index was turned down from the 106.00 area early last week after losing some momentum into the quarter-end. Given the...
2024-07-06 06:50:00 ET Summary Job growth has slowed from the frenetic pace after the lockdowns and labor shortages, back to the normal pace of the Good Times. The total number of payroll jobs at employers rose to 158.6 million, a year-over-year increase of 2.61 million jobs. ...
2024-07-06 06:05:00 ET Summary The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. The BLS reported a gain of 206k jobs, which was above expectations. Halfway through the year, the total jobs from the Household Survey represent just 1....
2024-07-06 05:10:48 ET Summary Two-year Treasury yields dropped 14 bps this week, to the low (4.60%) since March 27th. Bonds have turned notably receptive to indications of economic softening. With the Fed signaling the importance of labor market performance, markets this week...
2024-07-06 03:38:00 ET Summary We received a few more data points this week, validating the increasingly consensus view that the economy is slowing. Attention now shifts to the corporate sector, with the second quarter earnings season getting underway next week. It would be ni...
2024-07-06 01:50:00 ET Summary Global economic growth slowed in June but remained the second-strongest seen for just over a year, according to PMI data, pointing to a further robust expansion in the second quarter of 2024 after the slowdown seen in late 2023. The US bucked a broad...
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