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ZROZ - 10 Year Treasury Rate Falls Below 2.0% - Here Is Why There Is More To Go
PIMCO 25 Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded Fund
The 10-year Treasury rate has fallen below 2.0% for the first time since November 2016, blowing through the bearish reasons to "short" bonds at the last "blow-off" top.
As I have outlined in many of my past research notes, the driving factors behind US Treasury rates are credit risk, growth, and inflation. Currently, there is zero credit risk priced into US Treasury bonds so the analysis defaults to just the trending direction of growth and inflation.