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home / news releases / REG - 15 Upcoming Dividend Increases


REG - 15 Upcoming Dividend Increases

2023-12-07 18:33:10 ET

Summary

  • December is the last opportunity for companies to announce yearly dividend increases.
  • 15 companies expected to raise their dividends in the upcoming week, with a focus on up-and-comers in the dividend growth space.
  • The companies feature an average increase of 8.6% and a median increase of 4.9%.

As a dividend-growth investor, I can't get enough of my dividends. Receiving dividend checks is one of the great joys of investing life. Not only that, but companies that consistently increase their payouts perform significantly better than those that don't. As someone who closely monitors these companies, I'm happy to share valuable insights on upcoming dividend increases. With these lists, you can confidently expect to see the top stocks expected to raise their dividends in the upcoming week. I use this analysis for my portfolio construction and actionable items as they come up.

This week features a lot of up-and-comers in the dividend growth space. The average and median streak length is 12 years, just after the Great Financial Crisis. With just a few weeks left, this is the company's last chance to announce their increase.

How I Created The Lists

The information presented here is a result of merging two sources of data - the "U.S. Dividend Champions" spreadsheet from this website and upcoming dividend data from NASDAQ. The process combines data on companies with a consistent dividend growth history with their future dividend payments. It's important to understand that all companies included in this list have consistently grown in dividends for at least five years.

Companies must have higher total dividends paid each year to be included in this list. Hence, a company may not increase its dividend every calendar year, but the total annual dividend can still grow.

What Is The Ex-Dividend Date?

The ex-dividend date is when you must purchase shares to be eligible for the upcoming dividend or distribution. To qualify, you must have bought the shares by the end of the preceding business day. For instance, if the ex-dividend date is Tuesday, you must have acquired the shares by the market close on Monday. It's important to note that if the ex-dividend date is a Monday (or a Tuesday following a holiday on Monday), you must have bought the shares by the previous Friday.

Dividend Streak Categories

Here are the definitions of the streak categories, as I'll use them throughout the piece.

  • King: 50+ years.
  • Champion/Aristocrat: 25+ years.
  • Contender: 10-24 years.
  • Challenger: 5+ years.
Category
Count
King
0
Champion
1
Contender
9
Challenger
5

The Dividend Increasers List

Data has been sorted by the ex-dividend day (ascending) and then by the streak (descending):

Name
Ticker
Streak
Forward Yield
Ex-Div Date
Increase Percent
Streak Category
HP Inc.
( HPQ )
14
3.86
12-Dec-23
4.94%
Contender
Regency Centers Corporation
( REG )
11
4.2
13-Dec-23
3.08%
Contender
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.
( PB )
25
3.59
14-Dec-23
1.82%
Champion
Hanover Insurance Group Inc
( THG )
19
2.68
14-Dec-23
4.94%
Contender
Merck & Company, Inc. Common Stock (new)
( MRK )
13
2.92
14-Dec-23
5.48%
Contender
Avient Corporation
( AVNT )
13
2.9
14-Dec-23
3.63%
Contender
FNF Group of Fidelity National Financial, Inc.
( FNF )
12
4.14
14-Dec-23
6.67%
Contender
Motorola Solutions, Inc.
( MSI )
12
1.22
14-Dec-23
11.36%
Contender
ChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.
( COFS )
12
3.98
14-Dec-23
3.85%
Contender
Air Lease Corporation Class A
( AL )
11
2.12
14-Dec-23
5.00%
Contender
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.
( NXRT )
8
5.79
14-Dec-23
10.00%
Challenger
Capital Southwest Corporation
( CSWC )
8
10.03
14-Dec-23
1.61%
Challenger
Sonic Automotive, Inc.
( SAH )
8
2.39
14-Dec-23
3.45%
Challenger
Devon Energy Corporation
( DVN )
6
6.64
14-Dec-23
57.14%
Challenger
Leidos Holdings, Inc.
( LDOS )
5
1.39
14-Dec-23
5.56%
Challenger

Field Definitions

Streak : Years of dividend growth history are sourced from the U.S. Dividend Champions spreadsheet.

Forward Yield : The new payout rate is divided by the current share price.

Ex-Dividend Date : This is the date you need to own the stock.

Increase Percent : The percent increase.

Streak Category : This is the company's overall dividend history classification.

Show Me The Money

Here's a table mapping the new rates versus the old rates. It also reiterates the percentage increase. This table is sorted similarly to the first (ex-dividend day ascending, dividend streak descending).

Ticker
Old Rate
New Rate
Increase Percent
HPQ
0.263
0.276
4.94%
REG
0.65
0.67
3.08%
PB
0.55
0.56
1.82%
THG
0.81
0.85
4.94%
MRK
0.73
0.77
5.48%
AVNT
0.248
0.257
3.63%
MSI
0.88
0.98
11.36%
FNF
0.45
0.48
6.67%
COFS
0.26
0.27
3.85%
AL
0.2
0.21
5.00%
SAH
0.29
0.3
3.45%
NXRT
0.42
0.462
10.00%
CSWC
0.62
0.63
1.61%
DVN
0.49
0.77
57.14%
LDOS
0.36
0.38
5.56%

Additional Metrics

Some different metrics related to these companies include yearly pricing action and the P/E ratio. The table is sorted the same way as the table above. A value investor may find stock ideas with those companies near their 52-week lows, as they could provide more margin of safety and inflated yield.

Ticker
Current Price
52 Week Low
52 Week High
PE Ratio
% Off Low
% Off High
HPQ
28.5
25.22
33.6
11.84
13% Off Low
15% Off High
REG
63.78
52.48
65.49
173.64
22% Off Low
3% Off High
PB
62.33
49.6
76.59
12.2
26% Off Low
19% Off High
THG
126.72
103.06
145.68
14.83
23% Off Low
13% Off High
MRK
105.66
94.42
118.05
18.22
12% Off Low
10% Off High
AVNT
35.51
27.73
43.89
48.79
28% Off Low
19% Off High
COFS
27.12
15.84
28.45
15.38
71% Off Low
5% Off High
FNF
46.36
31.09
46.9
10.48
49% Off Low
1% Off High
MSI
322.47
248.58
325.9
38.15
30% Off Low
1% Off High
AL
39.71
33.33
45.74
8.42
19% Off Low
13% Off High
SAH
50.24
38.56
61.2
0
30% Off Low
18% Off High
NXRT
31.93
26.21
51.22
32.57
22% Off Low
38% Off High
CSWC
22.73
14.34
23.35
0
59% Off Low
3% Off High
DVN
43.24
42.59
64.98
0
2% Off Low
33% Off High
LDOS
109.71
75.96
111.39
24.35
44% Off Low
2% Off High

Tickers By Yield And Growth Rates

I've arranged the table in descending order for investors to prioritize the current yield. As a bonus, the table also features some historical dividend growth rates. Moreover, I have incorporated the "Chowder Rule," which is the sum of the current yield and the five-year dividend growth rate.

Ticker
Yield
1 Yr DG
3 Yr DG
5 Yr DG
10 Yr DG
Chowder Rule
DVN
6.64
27.9
24.9
22.8
-0.7
29.4
NXRT
5.79
10.5
10.4
10.9
16.6
REG
4.2
4
3.1
3.5
3.5
7.7
FNF
4.14
2.3
10.9
9
10.9
13.2
COFS
3.98
4
9.1
8.5
8
12.6
HPQ
3.86
5
14.2
13.5
6.6
17.3
PB
3.59
5.8
6.1
8.9
9.9
12.5
MRK
2.92
5.8
6.2
8.8
5.4
11.7
AVNT
2.9
4.2
6.9
7.2
15.7
10.1
THG
2.68
8
7.6
8.5
9.4
11.2
SAH
2.39
31
41.8
37.7
27.6
40.1
AL
2.12
8.1
10.1
14.9
26.7
17.1
LDOS
1.39
0
1.9
2.4
-2.8
3.8
MSI
1.22
11.4
11.2
11.1
12.4
12.3
CSWC
10.03
11.4
9.7
13
9.3
23

Historical Returns

My investment strategy involves finding stocks combining increasing dividends and consistently outperforming the market. I use the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF ( SCHD ) as my dividend growth benchmark. This ETF has a remarkable track record of exceptional performance, a higher yield than the S&P 500, and a proven record of growing dividends. Investing in the ETF is better if a stock cannot beat the benchmark. I've added companies to my personal investment portfolio based on this analysis. I also routinely use this analysis to choose timely additional purchases.

Here's the total return chart of SCHD versus the ten-highest 10-year dividend growth companies. I use this as a proxy for success; if a company can grow its annual dividend increase at high rates for long periods, shares should follow. For reference, SCHD has returned about 153% over the decade.

MSI has been an incredible performer, with a total return of 467%! Looking over the decade, it was a top performer going into 2020, but it has really separated itself in the past two years.

CSWC, FNF, and THG were the only other companies that outperformed SCHD, with total returns of 288%, 234%, and 159%, respectively.

Unfortunately, everyone else lagged SCHD to a certain extent.

Data by YCharts

Please do your due diligence before investing, and thanks for reading.

For further details see:

15 Upcoming Dividend Increases
Stock Information

Company Name: Regency Centers Corporation
Stock Symbol: REG
Market: NASDAQ
Website: regencycenters.com

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