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BILS - A Potentially Ominous Sign From America's Bond Markets
SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 3-12 Month T-Bill
The term premium is the difference between short- and long-term interest rates, and captures the market's expectations of future interest rates.
It also contains a risk premium, or how much investors want to be compensated for taking on interest rate and inflation risk associated with long-term bonds. The more worried investors are, the larger the premium.
The term premium is still low by historical standards. But it is rising fast and should be watched.