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QVMS - Anatomy Of A Recession: Why A U.S. Recession Is Unlikely Near Term
Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 QVM Multi-factor ETF
We have a healthy labor market, and it’s hard to have a recession when the labor market is on fire.
If you go back to 1970, there’s been the same number of examples where an oil price spike year-over-year of 60% occurred that led to a recession, and the same number of examples that led to no recession.
Another reason why we’re optimistic is that the US consumer is far more resilient to oil price shocks today compared to history.