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PIMCO 25 Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Yawn. Another year, another example of monetary offset.
As it became clear in late July that Congress was unlikely to extend the stimulus, Keynesian pundits went into full freakout mode, warning that the recovery would be aborted. Perhaps it will be aborted - I can't predict the path of the Covid-19 epidemic. But one thing seems clear, the end of the expansion won't be due to a negative AD shock - as inflation expectations are rising significantly:
At the end of July, the 5-year TIPS breakeven rate was 1.4%. Today it's at 1.61%. That's still