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PHT - Are High-Yield Returns Predictable? Key Metric Suggests Yes
Pioneer High Income Trust of Beneficial Interest
Stubbornly low interest rates still have many investors reaching far and wide for yield. But for others, high-yield corporate bonds are a bridge too far. Are they too risky? Do they hold up in volatile markets? Do they represent too much of an unknown?
In fact, high-yield bonds have historically performed predictably - even in rough market environments. A historical overview of high yield shows that the sector's yield to worst at the start of the investment period has been a remarkably reliable indicator of its returns over the subsequent five years. That relationship held