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Mapping out a technical rationale for setting the Banxico rate
Banco de México (Banxico) has cut its key rate from 10% to 8% so far in 2025. Yet, Mexican consumer price inflation has risen from 3.6% to 4.3% over the same period. The effect of both has cut our calculation of Banxico’s interest rate buffer to zero (see how it's calculated here ). That interest rate buffer was at around 3% before Banxico kicked off its latest rate-cutting sequence, and we noted at that time ample room for Banxico cuts. Following a sequence of cuts, the question is, what’s next?...