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PLW - Be Careful With Simple Treasury - TIPS Spreads
Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury ETF
The gap between the unadjusted and adjusted spreads was 0.44 ppts as of 9/30.
Analysts often look at the five year five year forward as an indicator of inflation over the five years five years from now.
If one believed in the DKW adjustment (and that adjustment held constant over the past four weeks), and the gap between CPI and PCE inflation remains roughly constant, that would place average PCE inflation over the next five years at about 2%.