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The inflation story has peaked. Our concern has moved on to recession fears. The bond market is telling us that.
Bonds are a bit oversold and could be due for a bounce, but the more esoteric areas of the bond market are calling for a recession, with rate cuts to follow probably in 2023.
This lines up very neatly with our thesis that the stock market is stuck in a trading range for the next 15-18 months.