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RISE - Bonds Part 2 Of 3: Cyclical Factors Pointing Toward Lower Rates
ETF Managers Sit Rising Rate ETF
Background
This is Part 2 of a planned 3-part series. Part 1 reviewed the secular bull market in bonds, i.e., toward lower rates, as I have described it since 2013. It also proposed a new target range for the 30-year Treasury bond (TLT) a few years from now of 1-2.5%, and a target yield on the 2-year T-note of 0% or lower.
Part of my ongoing thesis to stay the course with a heavy concentration in fixed income is not only the secular trends, but the cyclical forces I look at.