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BIL - Borrowed Time: Final Rate Hikes And Stock Market Rallies
SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill
By Jeffrey Kleintop
Over the past 30 years, stock markets around the world have rallied after the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked interest rates for the last time in the economic cycle. The rallies have varied in length and strength, but eventually break down as the late cycle environment encounters a catalyst that ends the cycle. The market currently believes that the Fed has hiked for the final time this cycle on December 19, 2018, according to the Fed Funds Futures. The stock market rally since then appears to be on borrowed time, if we compare