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Coffee can be one of the most volatile commodities that trade on the ICE futures exchange. Since the mid-1970s, quarterly historical volatility has ranged from just over 11% to a high at over 90%. At 14.9% at the end of last week, the measure of price variance was at the low end of the range.
Before 2018, the price of Arabica coffee bean futures had not ventured below $1 per pound since 2006. A combination of sufficient supplies to meet global requirements and the low level of the Brazilian real created a potent bearish cocktail