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Since Part I, the S&P 500 (SPY) has declined to a point where it worth reassessing.
Updated Valuation
Its CAPE ratio declined from over 30, where it reached only briefly for a moment before the Great Depression, tech bubble, and Covid-19. At 23 today, it is still somewhat higher than its historical average. The market cap to GDP almost reached 150% right before the tech bubble burst and surpassed 150% right before Covid-19. Now it is back to 108%. Based on both measurements, such levels now offer a modestly positive implied future