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TYD - Credit Is Telling Us That 'Everything's Is Gonna Be Alright'
Direxion Daily 10-Yr Treasury Bull 3x Shrs
Credit curves
Business cycles are driven by credit expansion then credit contraction. Therefore it makes sense to be able to assess how credit spreads are able to indicate an impending recession. Increase in financing costs is what typically leads the virtuous cycle of credit to tip over into a vicious cycle of credit reduction or credit crunch. In this article I will go over the combination of 3 indicators that can enable you to make your own assessment of the credit cycle: the 10-year minus 3 month Treasury yield differential, the NFCI credit sub-index and