KBND - Curve Inversion 101: U.S. CPI Politics Up Front China PPI Down(ing) The Back
- According to the NBS last week, the Chinese CPI dropped 0.2% month-over-month. Compared to May 2021, the index has increased just 2.1%, the same year-over-year rate as April.
- Unlike what it looks from the perspective of US or European CPIs, there’s no mistaking the downturn across China all throughout last year.
- That had spilled over into China’s producer prices quite some time ago. The Chinese PPI, a very good proxy for the rest of the world, gained just 0.1% May over April, and was up just 6.4% year-over-year. That compares to a peak rate of 13.5% set last October.
- And that means imports into China from everywhere else, which brings up shortfalls in external money (eurodollar) as well as domestic demand.
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Curve Inversion 101: U.S. CPI Politics Up Front, China PPI Down(ing) The Back