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IAUF - Do Not Bet Against Negative Rates In The U.S.
iShares Gold Strategy ETF
I have been involved in markets since the early 1980s, and until the aftermath of the global financial crisis in 2008, had never even considered negative interest rates. As a commodities trader, I am well-accustomed to markets that move to backwardation. When deferred prices are lower than nearby prices in a raw material market, it is often a sign of a fundamental imbalance where demand is higher in the short-term than supplies. Backwardation often drives nearby prices appreciably higher as consumers scramble to source requirements.
An example of extreme levels of backwardation in a commodities