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Equity and junk debt markets have once more priced out any possibility of economic weakness.
US and Canadian central banks have held base rates in the banking system above 5% - the tightest level in 17 years.
Inflation and growth readings have seen no such surge in Canada, China and the Eurozone.
Four months ago, Fed Fund Futures had priced in the expectation of 6 to 8 US rate cuts (150 to 200 basis points) by the end of 2024. Today, that expectation has retreated to just 40 bps, with a 17% chance of a 25 bp cut in June, down from 50% on Monday....