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SPXT - Estimating Future Stock Returns June 2021 Update
ProShares S&P 500 Ex-Technology
The only comparable period for this market is from the fourth quarter of 1999 to the third quarter of 2000 - the dot-com bubble, which was another period of speculation fueled by loose monetary policy.
Though at the end of the quarter, the S&P 500 was priced to return -0.91%/year over the next ten years, at present that value is -1.41%/year. None of these figures are adjusted for inflation.
The Dow 36,000 crowd will get their day in the sun, maybe even this year, or it might not happen until 2035.