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JHMM - Estimating Future Stock Returns March 2022 Update
John Hancock Multifactor Mid Cap
People get surprised by the ferocity of bear markets, but they shouldn’t be. They get shocked at losing money on paper, and thus the selloffs happen more rapidly.
Market expectations of inflation over the next ten years are well below the 4.7% you can earn on an average 10-year single-A rated corporate bond.
The Fed cares more about avoiding a depression than inflation. They will even resume QE with inflation running hot if they are worried about the financial sector.