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There is a conviction that the Fed is going to have to cut rates to insulate the economy from trade wars. US rates are collapsing, but the dollar is holding up reasonably well. We suspect that is due to wide US yield differentials and uncertainty over overseas growth prospects. That said, expect defensive positions to build against the dollar.
Markets are convinced the Fed will ease
After all the discussion about whether the flat/inverted US yield curve portends the next US recession, it now