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USDU - Fed Funds And The 2-Year Note: Why The Next Fed Move Is Likely An Easing
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
When the two-year note falls beneath the yield of Fed Funds, it is often a signal that a Fed easing is not too distant in the future. Since 1988, there have been several occasions when the yield of the two-year Treasury has fallen beneath Fed Funds. In most cases where the two-year note has fallen beneath Fed Funds for a sustained period, a cut in Fed Funds has occurred within 12 or 24 months. In certain cases, the easing in Fed policy has been fast. The time between a sustained inversion and a Fed rate