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One component of the leading economic indicators is the yield curve. Bond investors keep a close eye on this, as it illustrates the spread or difference between long-term interest rates and short-term ones. - Kenneth Fisher
On April 17, 2020, The Conference Board reported that the Leading Economic Index ((LEI)) dropped 6.7%, the Coincident Economic Index decreased 0.9%, and the Lagging Economic Index increased 1.2% for the six-month period ending March 2020.
What was your first reaction when you heard these numbers?
Obviously, you would be sensing a bearish market mood - because the