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We expect 2023 to be a year of transition, with gradual fading of price pressures allowing policymakers and market participants to take a more balanced approach to assessing growth and inflation dynamics.
The near-term outlook calls for more of the same: high inflation and rate hikes, albeit at a slower pace.
China’s economy has been hit by a series of significant and unexpected shocks in 2022, forcing an intra-year adjustment in the policy reaction function balancing debt and growth.