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SCHQ - Gold And The 'Real' Interest Rate Revisited
Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on November 18, 2019.
In a blog post in early September, I noted that the 10-year TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Security) yield had just gone negative and that the previous two times that this proxy for the real interest rate went negative (August-2011 and July-2016), the gold price was at an important peak. I then attempted to answer the question: If gold tends to benefit from a lower real interest rate, why would the gold price reverse downward shortly after the real interest rate turned negative?