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This article is an overview of the economic conditions that will drive the gold price in 2020 and beyond. The turn of the credit cycle, the effect on government deficits and how they are to be financed are addressed.
In the absence of foreign demand for new US Treasuries and of a rise in the savings rate, the US budget deficit can only be financed by monetary inflation. This is bound to lead to higher bond yields as the dollar's falling purchasing power accelerates due to the sheer quantity of new dollars entering circulation. The