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QVMS - Growth Cycle Outlook: Growth Bounce Then Deflation
Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 QVM Multi-factor ETF
Despite a moderate pick-up in growth during Q4, the leading indicators of the economic growth cycle suggest we are nearing a period of stagflation and potentially disinflation as growth resumes in deceleration.
Beginning with the long leading indicators, they have for some time been telling us that 2022 will be very different from what we experienced during 2021.
Another measure of liquidity and long leading indicator is the Marshallian K, which compares the ratio of the money supply (M2) relative to GDP.