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As investors continue to digest the likely path of this tightening cycle, we think the dramatic moves of recent weeks are set to ease, laying a good foundation for credit investors.
We now expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 basis points in both May and June, followed by a sequence of 25 basis point hikes until the policy rate approaches meaningfully restrictive territory.
U.S. unemployment is almost back to pre-pandemic levels and the consumer remains in excellent shape.