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PDBC - Higher Yields And Commodity Prices Intensify Recessions
Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity
Commodity prices and inflation expectations (below since 1995) have been following government and central bank stimulus flows higher over the past six months.
Higher commodity and interest rates weigh heavily on spending and recovery at this part of the economic cycle because jobs remain missing in action, and employment losses during this recession are heavier than average.
It typically takes years before the employment ratio can reclaim its prior cycle high.