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It has been almost one year since we initiated our first short position in Canada and made known our skepticism of the Canadian housing market (er, bubble) to our investors. Today we look upon the past year's worth of data to see how things have progressed and examine the key metrics we follow to guide our views.
Historically Elevated Unaffordability
Often, the most quoted statistic regarding the ongoing housing boom in Canada is Home Price to Income ratio, as shown in Exhibit 1. While we think this is a useful first visual for investors to