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After another Fed-induced yield curve inversion in August of 2019, the economy dipped into a recession at the end of 2020.
Certainly, the pandemic shutdown contributed to the recession, but possibly the economy was headed in that direction anyway following the yield curve inversion.
With the yield curve spread at 123 basis points (10-year Treasury minus 2-year Treasury) and rising, this move higher in interest rates is a headwind for bond returns.