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SPXV - Is The U.S. Stock Market Overvalued? A Back-Of-The-Envelope Calculation
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In recent weeks, hundreds of research reports and many more blogs and commentaries have discussed the current valuation of the US stock market. With the economy in a recession and corporate profits and GDP down by double digits, it is tough to argue that the stock market is not grossly overvalued. I have used the following simple model in my first-year MBA class when I wrap up the stock market section of the course to discuss the overall valuation of the US stock market. The title of the lecture is the title of this note,