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Central banks have primed markets to expect too many rate hikes in the face of persistent inflation, in our view. This keeps us neutral on stocks in the short run.
The U.S. added 390, 000 jobs in May - a number that was matched by new entrants to the labor force. This shows the labor market is not as tight as feared.
The European Central Bank (ECB) this week is set to give more clues about its rate path. U.S. inflation data could provide crucial inputs for the Fed’s rate hikes.